This morning, central banks around the world released their latest reports on foreign exchange turnover. These numbers are for October 2011. FX trading volume declined in every part of the world except for the U.S., where it rose to a fresh record high in October. The anomaly in the U.S. may have to do with the improvement in risk appetite in October – stocks rose strongly, which could have made US investors more willing to take on risk. In other parts of the world, trading volumes in the Swiss Franc and Japanese Yen could have suffered from central bank intervention, which capped volatility in those pairs.
London Link to Report
– Average daily reported UK foreign exchange turnover was $1,972 billion in April 2011, 3% lower than in October 2010, and 17% higher than a year earlier. This was off the highest level of turnover recorded since the survey began in April.
– The decrease in turnover was driven by a 9% fall in FX swaps activity. Spot turnover rose
2% to a record survey higher.
New York Link to Report
- Daily FX market turnover rose to a record $977 billion for the Oct 2011 reporting period, up 20% from prior year
– On an average daily basis, total turnover declined by 14.4% from US$ 61.2 billion in April 2011
to US$ 52.4 billion in October. This was the first decline in traditional foreign exchange
turnover since April 2009
– Total average daily turnover in all OTC foreign exchange instruments in the Australian market was US$167.9 billion in October 2011. This was a decline of 23 per cent from April 2011, and a decline of 14 per cent over the year.
– Average daily turnover in traditional OTC foreign exchange instruments (spot, outright forwards and foreign exchange swaps) in the Australian market was US$161.2 billion in October 2011. This was a decline of 23 per cent from April 2011, and a decline of 14 per cent over the year.
With less than 24 hours to go before members of the Greek Parliament vote on the Austerity Package, sealing the fate of Greece in the process, the euro is holding steady against the U.S. dollar. The next 48 hours could determine the overall sentiment in the global financial markets for weeks and possibly even months to come which makes it extremely important to know the approximate timing for the votes.
The first and most important vote will be on the details of the Austerity Package. This is the one that will elicit the most significant reaction from investors. The Parliamentary session begins at 10am local time which is 8am London Time / 3am NY Time. The vote is expected to be done right in time for the NY open at 3pm Local time / 1pm London Time / 8am NY Time.
Thursday’s vote is on the procedures for implementation. This could still stall the process but should be more of a technicality than anything else. This process will last longer because MPs will be giving individual speeches which will then be followed up with the vote by midnight / 10pm London Time / 5pm NY Time.
The outcome of the vote will determine whether the EUR/USD races above 1.45 or crashes towards 1.40.
I have received a number of requests for my Currency Checklist excel spreadsheet which I fill out every morning before I trade (admittedly some of them are linked to real time feeds and are automatically filled out) but here it is!
This purpose of this checklist is to get a feel for the market and to identify trades. It should list all of the currency pairs that are offered for trading in the left column, followed by three columns for the current, high, and low prices and then a series of triggers laid out as a row on the right-hand side
Newer traders probably want to start off with following only the four major currency pairs, which
are the EUR/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF, and GBP/USD, and then gradually add in the crosses. Although the checklist that I have created is fairly detailed, I find that it is a very useful daily exercise and should take no more than 20 minutes to complete once the appropriate indicators are saved on
the charts. The purpose of this checklist is to get a clear visual of which currencies are trending and which are range trading. Comprehending the big picture is the first step to trading successfully.