The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee changes dramatically in 2012. Gone are Evans (the most dovish member of the FOMC), Fisher, Plosser and Kocherlakota (the Trio of hawks) and in comes Lacker, Pianalto, Lockhart and Williams. Three hawks and one dove will now be replaced with three doves and one hawk. We can only imagine what this means for monetary policy in the coming year. Every piece of good data will be looked at with skepticism and the central bank as a whole will be more introduce another round of quantitative easing than to normalize monetary policy.
Here is the updated FOMC Voters Dove Hawk Scale for 2012
Jeremy C. Stein and Jerome H. Powell have been nominated by President Obama to fill the 2 vacant seats on the Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors but they still need to be confirmed by the Senate who do not return to business until Jan 23rd.
Here’s where the current voters stand:
Openly Dovish
Cleveland Fed President Sandra Pianalto
Moderately Dovish
NY Fed President William Dudley
Vice Chair Janet Yellen
Slight Lean towards Dovishness
Fed Board Member Daniel Tarullo
Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke
Fed Board Member Elizabeth Duke
San Francisco Fed President John Williams
Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart
Neutral
Fed Board Member Sarah Raskin
Slightly Hawkish
Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker
Here is the FOMC Rotation for the next few years:
Source for both charts is Fixedincomelive.com
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I don’t know above the doves and hawks metaphors but they must be totally cuckoo. Whoever is in it will be a mess.
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